Both Chad Dotson and Kilo at Spark it Up!!! point to this graphic being shown at RedState.org.
Kilo has some interesting insight, but no matter how he tries to frame it, I still have to go home and sleep each night in that little blue island you see just south of the big blue Roanoke island.
I will work to find and support good local opposition for our three "representatives". I want to see Roanoke as the only blue stain on our end of the map next time.
I can explain it to you, but I can't understand it for you.
Thursday, November 10, 2005
Wednesday, November 09, 2005
My Sparse Posting Today...
was not due to sullen pouting.
Although I do feel like having a grand old pity party, it won't happen. Most local contests went my way. I was never too keen on some of Mr. Kilgore's campaign tactics, and I guess I shouldn't be too surprised that it seems to have backfired on him, but I am still in shock regarding the Collinsville Board of Supervisors race.
I am very busy at work. I leave here (Collinsville) at 5:30am, and arrive back somewhere around 7:00pm. Most days I am able to squeeze out a post or two at work and another one or two from here at home in the evening.
I am however, for what it's worth, working on an analysis of yesterday's election results. Look for it before the weekend.
Next week I will work to discover who the Republican Party representatives are in Henry and or Patrick County. Now that I have moved back here it is time to seriously work to remove our three malignant growths that have "represented" us for the better part of two decades.
Although I do feel like having a grand old pity party, it won't happen. Most local contests went my way. I was never too keen on some of Mr. Kilgore's campaign tactics, and I guess I shouldn't be too surprised that it seems to have backfired on him, but I am still in shock regarding the Collinsville Board of Supervisors race.
I am very busy at work. I leave here (Collinsville) at 5:30am, and arrive back somewhere around 7:00pm. Most days I am able to squeeze out a post or two at work and another one or two from here at home in the evening.
I am however, for what it's worth, working on an analysis of yesterday's election results. Look for it before the weekend.
Next week I will work to discover who the Republican Party representatives are in Henry and or Patrick County. Now that I have moved back here it is time to seriously work to remove our three malignant growths that have "represented" us for the better part of two decades.
Excellent Analysis
Hans Mast at The (not so) Daily Me gives us an excellent briefing on the results.
Tuesday, November 08, 2005
My Thoughts On Tonights Results
OK, I'm happy with some, disappointed with others.
Lt. Governor___Happy
Attorney General____Happy, I think.
Governor____I'll abide by Waldo's guidelines.
Henry County local;
School Board____happy
City Commonwealth Attorney___I can live with it.
Collinsville Board of Supervisors ____Amazed.
10th District, House____I've lived 14 years with that idiot, another two won't kill me.
Blackberry School Board___happy.
All in all, an acceptable outcome. I would have preferred Kilgore had ran a better campaign. He hurt himself I believe with the emphasis on the death penalty. Other than that, I feel he ran a good campaign. No, I do not believe that last night's visit with Bush made an iota of difference.
I get up each morning at 4:00am. I will update all results at that time. Good night all.
Lt. Governor___Happy
Attorney General____Happy, I think.
Governor____I'll abide by Waldo's guidelines.
Henry County local;
School Board____happy
City Commonwealth Attorney___I can live with it.
Collinsville Board of Supervisors ____Amazed.
10th District, House____I've lived 14 years with that idiot, another two won't kill me.
Blackberry School Board___happy.
All in all, an acceptable outcome. I would have preferred Kilgore had ran a better campaign. He hurt himself I believe with the emphasis on the death penalty. Other than that, I feel he ran a good campaign. No, I do not believe that last night's visit with Bush made an iota of difference.
I get up each morning at 4:00am. I will update all results at that time. Good night all.
Election Results Will Be Updated Live, Beginning At 7:30
| % Precincts Reporting | 100% | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Party | Total | Percent |
| Kilgore | R | 902,244 | 46% |
| Kaine | D | 1,009,532 | 51% |
| Potts | I | 43,675 | 2% |
| % Precincts Reporting | 100% | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Party | Total | Percent |
| Bolling | R | 966,357 | 50% |
| Byrne | D | 936,581 | 49% |
| % Precincts Reportin99 | 99% | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Party | Total | Percent |
| McDonnell | R | 966,275 | 50% |
| Deeds | D | 962,812 | 49% |
Election Results, Henry County And House Races
I will be using information provided by WYAT TV 40 in Martinsville, along with other media sources. As always, the comment section is open.
oops, in the process of updating, I lost all my Henry County stuff. Sorry.
| % Precincts Reporting | 100% | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Party | Total | Percent |
| Young | R | 6,553 | 34% |
| Armstrong | D | 11,371 | 65% |
| % Precincts Reporting | 100% | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Party | Total | Percent |
| Dudley | R | 12,683 | 52% |
| Ferguson | D | 11,415 | 47% |
oops, in the process of updating, I lost all my Henry County stuff. Sorry.
Election Coverage
I'll be posting live, real-time coverage here tonight. My primary focus will be on the local races involving Henry and Patrick Counties, but there will be updated information on other contests throughout the state as I recieve it.
I'm not sure how well this will work, but I'm going to attempt it anyway.
I'm not sure how well this will work, but I'm going to attempt it anyway.
Hollywood Republicans. Oxymoron?
Check out this from Jerminator, good read.
Fedora-pundit: Hollywood Republicans.....could it be?
Fedora-pundit: Hollywood Republicans.....could it be?
Monday, November 07, 2005
Birds Do It, Bees Do It, Even Educated Bloggers Do It
Make election predictions, that is.
It seems everyone is making their predictions on tomorrows outcome.
Oh...OK, Everyone is Chad and Steve, but let me dramatize just a little, OK?
UPDATE: Add Shaun Kenney to the list of prognosticators
Now, you get to sit back and savor my enlightened thoughts on this subject...
Due to rounding, all results may not equal 100%
Governor;
Kilgore 49%
Kaine 48%
Potts 3%
Lt. Governor;
Bolling 55
Byrne 44
Attorney General;
McDonnell 53%
Deeds 46%
10th District;
Armstrong 49%
Young 50%
It seems everyone is making their predictions on tomorrows outcome.
Oh...OK, Everyone is Chad and Steve, but let me dramatize just a little, OK?
UPDATE: Add Shaun Kenney to the list of prognosticators
Now, you get to sit back and savor my enlightened thoughts on this subject...
Due to rounding, all results may not equal 100%
Governor;
Kilgore 49%
Kaine 48%
Potts 3%
Lt. Governor;
Bolling 55
Byrne 44
Attorney General;
McDonnell 53%
Deeds 46%
10th District;
Armstrong 49%
Young 50%
My Two Final Endorsements
As those of you who have been following this series know I have been having some fun with the Roanoke Times and putting out some serious endorsements of my own.
My Governor endorsement can be found here.
Lt. Governor and Atty. General here.
And probably the most serious to date, at least for my Henry and Patrick County readers,
My 10th District choice here.
Now, at this late time, (sorry, but I am busy during the day), my choices for the local races where I actually live.
Collinsville seat on the Henry County Board of Supervisors;
My choice and recommendation has to be David Davis. Mr. Davis has experience not only on the Board of Supervisors, but also in the "real world" of business management. He has served well during his tenure, and I see no reason not to continue our community's relationship with him. (Note to Wendy and Tommy. I assume Mr. Davis is a Democrat, he has campaign literature picturing him with Mark Warner. Ain't you guys on Campbell Ave. proud of me?)
His opponent, Jim McMillian, on the other hand has consistently refused to state an opinion on any issue likely to face the County. He instead prefers to hide behind the statement that he would vote as the Collinsville District voters as a majority prefered.
This sounds good to those that give it no further consideration, but. And that is one big but.
How does one know what the majority of the Collinsville District actually prefers? Would Mr. MacMillian actually canvass the town before each meeting, with an agenda in hand? Or would he rather have us all come in to each meeting and individually whisper into his ear before each vote. You can see that this campaign position is not only deceitful, it borders on (if not surpassing) stupidity. I urge you all to vote for David Davis instead of this charlatan.
Next, Henry County School Board, Collinsville District.
I know John Anders. Or rather I knew John Anders. But that was two wives ago. (My wives, not John's. As far as I know he is still married to the lovely and gracious Barbara.) The John Anders I remember was an intelligent, dedicated teacher of Spanish, with a great sense of humor. John, if you happen to read this, I finally learned some Spanish. Dos cervezas mas , por favor!
John would make a fine School Board Member, but I'm getting ahead of myself. I haven't endorsed him yet.
I do not know his two opponents, Juanita May and Kathy Rogers.
Both Anders and May have made the basis of their platform improved pay for teachers. That ex-wife I alluded to in an earlier paragraph was a teacher. I know first-hand just how much hard work, especially after hours and weekend work, goes into being an educator. However, that coupled with smaller class sizes seems to be the extent of each candidates ideas.
Ms. Rogers, however, has presented some interesting ideas regarding the follow-up on the recent consolidation of County Schools. Regardless of how one felt concerning consolidation, it's been done. Now we have to make it work. There are still several elementary schools in the County that need to be either replaced or renovated. Ms. Rogers, unlike her counterparts in the Blackberry district, has not jumped to any politically expedient conclusions in this regard.
My choice for Collinsville District School Board seat is....
A toss-up. Because I know John, and am certain that he stands for more than just teacher salaries, I feel he would be a good choice. Again, the John I knew would not be extremely comfortable with a Bulletin reporter and may not have expressed his full thoughts on the office. Vote for either John Anders or Kathy Rogers. I would be comfortable with either one taking over from the extremely dedicated Katherine Wickline.
My Governor endorsement can be found here.
Lt. Governor and Atty. General here.
And probably the most serious to date, at least for my Henry and Patrick County readers,
My 10th District choice here.
Now, at this late time, (sorry, but I am busy during the day), my choices for the local races where I actually live.
Collinsville seat on the Henry County Board of Supervisors;
My choice and recommendation has to be David Davis. Mr. Davis has experience not only on the Board of Supervisors, but also in the "real world" of business management. He has served well during his tenure, and I see no reason not to continue our community's relationship with him. (Note to Wendy and Tommy. I assume Mr. Davis is a Democrat, he has campaign literature picturing him with Mark Warner. Ain't you guys on Campbell Ave. proud of me?)
His opponent, Jim McMillian, on the other hand has consistently refused to state an opinion on any issue likely to face the County. He instead prefers to hide behind the statement that he would vote as the Collinsville District voters as a majority prefered.
This sounds good to those that give it no further consideration, but. And that is one big but.
How does one know what the majority of the Collinsville District actually prefers? Would Mr. MacMillian actually canvass the town before each meeting, with an agenda in hand? Or would he rather have us all come in to each meeting and individually whisper into his ear before each vote. You can see that this campaign position is not only deceitful, it borders on (if not surpassing) stupidity. I urge you all to vote for David Davis instead of this charlatan.
Next, Henry County School Board, Collinsville District.
I know John Anders. Or rather I knew John Anders. But that was two wives ago. (My wives, not John's. As far as I know he is still married to the lovely and gracious Barbara.) The John Anders I remember was an intelligent, dedicated teacher of Spanish, with a great sense of humor. John, if you happen to read this, I finally learned some Spanish. Dos cervezas mas , por favor!
John would make a fine School Board Member, but I'm getting ahead of myself. I haven't endorsed him yet.
I do not know his two opponents, Juanita May and Kathy Rogers.
Both Anders and May have made the basis of their platform improved pay for teachers. That ex-wife I alluded to in an earlier paragraph was a teacher. I know first-hand just how much hard work, especially after hours and weekend work, goes into being an educator. However, that coupled with smaller class sizes seems to be the extent of each candidates ideas.
Ms. Rogers, however, has presented some interesting ideas regarding the follow-up on the recent consolidation of County Schools. Regardless of how one felt concerning consolidation, it's been done. Now we have to make it work. There are still several elementary schools in the County that need to be either replaced or renovated. Ms. Rogers, unlike her counterparts in the Blackberry district, has not jumped to any politically expedient conclusions in this regard.
My choice for Collinsville District School Board seat is....
A toss-up. Because I know John, and am certain that he stands for more than just teacher salaries, I feel he would be a good choice. Again, the John I knew would not be extremely comfortable with a Bulletin reporter and may not have expressed his full thoughts on the office. Vote for either John Anders or Kathy Rogers. I would be comfortable with either one taking over from the extremely dedicated Katherine Wickline.
Carnival of The Magnolias
The second Carnival of the Magnolias is running now at Southern Blog Federation.
This is a group of exclusively southern blogs, and there is some good writing to be found there.
This is a group of exclusively southern blogs, and there is some good writing to be found there.
Youths in Rural U.S. Are Drawn To Military
An AP article in the Washington Post features a young man from Martinsville and his choices that led him to enlist.
The article, which goes along quite well with Jerry's post here. Jerry's piece is expanded somewhat here by me.
Fianlly, we have this from Don Surber to tie up all the loose ends.
The article, which goes along quite well with Jerry's post here. Jerry's piece is expanded somewhat here by me.
Fianlly, we have this from Don Surber to tie up all the loose ends.
Local Turnout Predicted At 35-60 Percent
If the local Registrars are correct in their predictions, the 10th District will be even closer than I had originally predicted. With the possible result of sending David Young over the top.
Henry County Registrar Elizabeth Stone is looking for a average turnout at 49% while Ercell Cowan, Martinsville City Registrar foresees only a 35% participation.
The big news is that Patrick County Registrar Dianna Vipperman, citing a contested Board of Supervisors race in the Dan River District predicts a 60% turnout.
Ward Armstrong is highly unlikely to carry Patrick County or Carroll County. With the City turnout being negligible Ward will have to look to Henry County to pick up the slack. If Kilgore does as well in Henry County as I expect, Ward will be a full time litigator in 2006.
Henry County Registrar Elizabeth Stone is looking for a average turnout at 49% while Ercell Cowan, Martinsville City Registrar foresees only a 35% participation.
The big news is that Patrick County Registrar Dianna Vipperman, citing a contested Board of Supervisors race in the Dan River District predicts a 60% turnout.
Ward Armstrong is highly unlikely to carry Patrick County or Carroll County. With the City turnout being negligible Ward will have to look to Henry County to pick up the slack. If Kilgore does as well in Henry County as I expect, Ward will be a full time litigator in 2006.
Sunday, November 06, 2005
Roanoke Native
Wayne LaPierre does a great ad. One was just shown during the race broadcast.
I don't know how effective they are, but they are powerful.
I don't know how effective they are, but they are powerful.
Virginia Bloggers Carnival VIII
The deadline is looming...
Let's keep Hans up late reading lots and lots of entries.
Rules and guidelines can be found here
Let's keep Hans up late reading lots and lots of entries.
Rules and guidelines can be found here
Let's Go To The Numbers, From RTD
Mark Holmberg has put together a system for numerically predicting the outcome of this Tuesday's Gubernatorial election. It's humorous and fun and even raises another question...
So, tell me, just where should Virginia be divided if it were like the other north-south states?
So, tell me, just where should Virginia be divided if it were like the other north-south states?
Chadalanche
I've been busy writing for the past hour or so. I just noticed I'm experiencing a Chadalanche.
Thanks for the link, Chad!
Thanks for the link, Chad!
Now For A Serious Endorsement.
10th District House of Delegates;
David Young
Ward Armstrong has represented Henry County for 14 years. Fourteen Years.
I’ll begin by listing his accomplishments and successes in improving the economic climate of Henry, Patrick, and Carroll Counties.
Sure, he’s passed a lot of resolutions. But if you go back and check, most were like this one. His lack of concrete accomplishments may be why his ad campaign consists of attacks on Mr. Young.
Ward, who voted for the Warner, Kaine “Budget Reform” (AKA the largest tax increase in the history of Virginia), even goes so far as to claim that Young will raise taxes. He bases this on the fact that Young did support a meals tax in Patrick County. But to be fair, a meals tax typically hits non-residents in a rural area such as Patrick much harder than it does residents.
He is well known outside of this area as a sophomoric cut-up while he should be doing our serious business. The Martinsville Bulletin rarely prints a story that is not flattering, so most of his constituents may not be aware of his “joke” at the expense of Sen. Jeannemarie Devolites Davis. On the House floor Armstrong, using a voice characterization reminiscent of Bill Clinton, made a reference to a legislative basketball game. In the reference he said that Ms. Davis would be his team’s center and was coming over to his house later to “review the playbook”. Ok, that was bad, but later that evening he reffered to her again saying “she’s no Monica Lewinsky, but she can be taught”.
Mr. Young has served Patrick County soberly and seriously for more than 30 years. First as a teacher in the Patrick County Public School system, and currently sits on the Board of Supervisors for the County.
This will be a close race, maybe the best "edge of the chair" contest on Tuesday night. Ward has only been opposed once in this newly reconfigured district, and he won with 53%. That looks good until you look closer. In 2001 he was opposed by a relatively weak opponent and had strong backing in the Patrick and Carroll County areas from Barnie Day, yet he lost big in Patrick County and even more so in Carroll. Back then he handily carried Henry County, but times have changed. Ward has little to show for his time in Richmond and people here in Henry County are grumbling about him.
Voters in the 10th District have a unique opportunity. With one pull of the lever they can send Ward back into full time law practice and send a message to Roscoe Reynolds as well.
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